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tape livemanual reviewONevidenceREQUIREDjson/trace.jsontracked horizons1D · 7D · 30D · 90Ddisclaimernot financial advicetape livemanual reviewONevidenceREQUIREDjson/trace.jsontracked horizons1D · 7D · 30D · 90Ddisclaimernot financial advice
MarketsPredictionsSOONExpertsSOONCreatorsSOON
Notthreadguy

Notthreadguy

unclaimed
@notthreadguy · person
pending
Subscribe · x402 · soonClaim this profile
win rate0W · 0L
trades50published & scoreable
resolved0settled outcomes
avg P&L-1365.4%per call
unclaimed public trackercorrection path availablescored on resolved calls only
Published claims
Agent-readable layer
{
  "version": "market-claims.v1",
  "claims": [
    {
      "id": "mcl_30fce586fc4e782e0e",
      "url": "/trace/claims/mcl_30fce586fc4e782e0e",
      "status": "PUBLISHED",
      "claimType": "DIRECTIONAL_THESIS",
      "direction": "LONG",
      "claimText": "BTC has no marginal bidder outside Saylor; uninspiring here despite holding a big spot position.",
      "confidence": 0.72,
      "expert": {
        "slug": "notthreadguy",
        "displayName": "Notthreadguy",
        "kind": "PERSON",
        "status": "UNCLAIMED",
        "avatarUrl": "/api/avatars/73b599a1-a",
        "url": "/trace/experts/notthreadguy",
        "claimed": false
      },
      "primaryEntity": {
        "kind": "ASSET",
        "assetClass": "CRYPTO",
        "symbol": "BTC",
        "name": "BTC",
        "exchange": null,
        "confidence": 0.78
      },
      "evidence": {
        "evidenceUrl": "https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2758570970?t=553s",
        "sourceUrl": "https://twitch.tv/videos/2758570970",
        "timecode": "9:13",
        "startMs": 553000,
        "endMs": null,
        "excerpt": "There's no bidder outside of Saylor right now. There's just not. Long BTC, it could have just got an entry on literally anything else, didn't do it."
      },
      "performance": {
        "entryPrice": 76958,
        "currentPrice": 65232,
        "returnPct": -15.236882,
        "relativePct": null,
        "method": "PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "mcl_2618b64d9a89448ca9",
      "url": "/trace/claims/mcl_2618b64d9a89448ca9",
      "status": "PUBLISHED",
      "claimType": "DIRECTIONAL_THESIS",
      "direction": "SHORT",
      "claimText": "Buying high-beta just because it's cheap relative to the leader (ETH, Lighter) is a losing strategy.",
      "confidence": 0.72,
      "expert": {
        "slug": "notthreadguy",
        "displayName": "Notthreadguy",
        "kind": "PERSON",
        "status": "UNCLAIMED",
        "avatarUrl": "/api/avatars/73b599a1-a",
        "url": "/trace/experts/notthreadguy",
        "claimed": false
      },
      "primaryEntity": {
        "kind": "ASSET",
        "assetClass": "CRYPTO",
        "symbol": "ETH",
        "name": "ETH",
        "exchange": null,
        "confidence": 0.78
      },
      "evidence": {
        "evidenceUrl": "https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2758570970?t=717s",
        "sourceUrl": "https://twitch.tv/videos/2758570970",
        "timecode": "11:57",
        "startMs": 717000,
        "endMs": null,
        "excerpt": "ETH market cap is way too low in relation to Bitcoin. But it's like, what does that even mean?... it doesn't make it attractive."
      },
      "performance": {
        "entryPrice": 2290.2,
        "currentPrice": 1777.49,
        "returnPct": 22.387128,
        "relativePct": null,
        "method": "PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "mcl_9c9490fefaf6d2c01c",
      "url": "/trace/claims/mcl_9c9490fefaf6d2c01c",
      "status": "PUBLISHED",
      "claimType": "DIRECTIONAL_THESIS",
      "direction": "SHORT",
      "claimText": "Poet Technologies is uninvestable; CFO breached the NDA, Marvell pulled the deal, and shares only go down.",
      "confidence": 0.72,
      "expert": {
        "slug": "notthreadguy",
        "displayName": "Notthreadguy",
        "kind": "PERSON",
        "status": "UNCLAIMED",
        "avatarUrl": "/api/avatars/73b599a1-a",
        "url": "/trace/experts/notthreadguy",
        "claimed": false
      },
      "primaryEntity": {
        "kind": "ASSET",
        "assetClass": "EQUITY",
        "symbol": "POET",
        "name": "POET",
        "exchange": null,
        "confidence": 0.78
      },
      "evidence": {
        "evidenceUrl": "https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2758570970?t=5067s",
        "sourceUrl": "https://twitch.tv/videos/2758570970",
        "timecode": "84:27",
        "startMs": 5067000,
        "endMs": null,
        "excerpt": "You go out on a podcast, you break and violate an NDA... Marvell freaks out. They pull the deal. You now have lost your main source of revenue."
      },
      "performance": {
        "entryPrice": 7.9499998093,
        "currentPrice": null,
        "returnPct": null,
        "relativePct": null,
        "method": "PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"
      }
    }
  ],
  "nextCursor": null
}

AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice.