TRACE
Trace a source
tape livemanual reviewONevidenceREQUIREDjson/trace.jsontracked horizons1D · 7D · 30D · 90Ddisclaimernot financial advicetape livemanual reviewONevidenceREQUIREDjson/trace.jsontracked horizons1D · 7D · 30D · 90Ddisclaimernot financial advice
publisheddirectional thesisLONGyoutubenot an explicit trade

MSFT directional thesis

AI won't kill the big software names, it hands them a huge new market: Adobe could jump from 3 percent of users to 20 percent, and copilots make every existing product better.

$515.36entry snapshot
pendingcurrent snapshot
— pendingsince mention
So I think the bear case on software Hey, I could just use Claude to write my next SAP. We're not losing any sleep over that. Because that's not what software ever was. It was never a technology barrier. It was always a business knowledge barrier.
91:57claim_id mcl_011e7fa3d230708e89open evidence ↗
Classification directional thesis

Human-reviewed public claim.

Evidence span 91:57

Evidence URL, source timestamp, and excerpt are attached to this permanent claim page.

Correction path available

Creators or reviewers can request reclassification, context, or entity corrections without erasing the source record.

Machine-readable claim
{
  "version": "market-claims.v1",
  "claim": {
    "id": "mcl_011e7fa3d230708e89",
    "url": "/trace/claims/mcl_011e7fa3d230708e89",
    "status": "PUBLISHED",
    "claimType": "DIRECTIONAL_THESIS",
    "direction": "LONG",
    "claimText": "AI won't kill the big software names, it hands them a huge new market: Adobe could jump from 3 percent of users to 20 percent, and copilots make every existing product better.",
    "confidence": 0.72,
    "expert": {
      "slug": "investlikebest",
      "displayName": "Invest Like the Best",
      "kind": "PERSON",
      "status": "UNCLAIMED",
      "avatarUrl": "/api/avatars/75a94db5-5",
      "url": "/trace/experts/investlikebest",
      "claimed": false
    },
    "primaryEntity": {
      "kind": "ASSET",
      "assetClass": "EQUITY",
      "symbol": "MSFT",
      "name": "MSFT",
      "exchange": null,
      "confidence": 0.78
    },
    "evidence": {
      "evidenceUrl": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4zzkuFyI18&t=5517s",
      "sourceUrl": "https://youtube.com/watch?v=g4zzkuFyI18",
      "timecode": "91:57",
      "startMs": 5517000,
      "endMs": null,
      "excerpt": "So I think the bear case on software Hey, I could just use Claude to write my next SAP. We're not losing any sleep over that. Because that's not what software ever was. It was never a technology barrier. It was always a business knowledge barrier."
    },
    "performance": {
      "entryPrice": 515.3599853516,
      "currentPrice": null,
      "returnPct": null,
      "relativePct": null,
      "method": "PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"
    },
    "resolutionStatus": "OPEN",
    "ambiguityNotes": null,
    "horizon": "multi-year",
    "isExplicitTrade": false,
    "notFinancialAdvice": true,
    "disclaimer": "AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice."
  },
  "expert": {
    "slug": "investlikebest",
    "displayName": "Invest Like the Best",
    "kind": "PERSON",
    "status": "UNCLAIMED",
    "avatarUrl": "/api/avatars/75a94db5-5",
    "url": "/trace/experts/investlikebest",
    "claimed": false
  },
  "source": {
    "platform": "YOUTUBE",
    "title": "5 Ingredients for the Perfect Investment | Jeff Horing Interview",
    "sourceUrl": "https://youtube.com/watch?v=g4zzkuFyI18",
    "publishedAt": "2025-09-16T12:01:29.000Z"
  },
  "evidence": {
    "evidenceUrl": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4zzkuFyI18&t=5517s",
    "sourceUrl": "https://youtube.com/watch?v=g4zzkuFyI18",
    "timecode": "91:57",
    "startMs": 5517000,
    "endMs": null,
    "excerpt": "So I think the bear case on software Hey, I could just use Claude to write my next SAP. We're not losing any sleep over that. Because that's not what software ever was. It was never a technology barrier. It was always a business knowledge barrier.",
    "quote": "So I think the bear case on software Hey, I could just use Claude to write my next SAP. We're not losing any sleep over that. Because that's not what software ever was. It was never a technology barrier. It was always a business knowledge barrier.",
    "speaker": "Jeff Horing"
  },
  "entities": [
    {
      "kind": "ASSET",
      "assetClass": "EQUITY",
      "symbol": "MSFT",
      "name": "MSFT",
      "exchange": null,
      "confidence": 0.78
    }
  ],
  "marketData": {
    "entry": {
      "price": 515.3599853516,
      "currency": "USD",
      "observedAt": "2025-09-16T12:01:29.000Z",
      "method": "PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"
    },
    "current": null,
    "returnPct": null
  },
  "snapshots": [
    {
      "kind": "ENTRY",
      "symbol": "MSFT",
      "assetClass": "EQUITY",
      "price": 515.3599853516,
      "probability": null,
      "currency": "USD",
      "provider": "paste.trade",
      "providerSymbol": "xyz:MSFT",
      "observedAt": "2025-09-16T12:01:29.000Z",
      "method": "PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE",
      "returnPct": null,
      "relativePct": null
    }
  ]
}

AISO Market Calls classifies public statements from public sources. A classification such as long thesis, short thesis, or explicit call describes the content of the public statement and does not prove that the speaker actually entered, exited, or held a position. Market performance shown is calculated from public market data around the source publication or timestamp. It is not investment advice.