{"version":"market-claims.v1","claim":{"id":"mcl_bd5de9f564c3daf026","url":"/trace/claims/mcl_bd5de9f564c3daf026","status":"PUBLISHED","claimType":"DIRECTIONAL_THESIS","direction":"SHORT","claimText":"ThreadGuy argues oil bulls are fighting governments determined to push prices down and that the trend has clearly broken to the downside, framing long oil as a losing, fading trade.","confidence":0.72,"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"primaryEntity":{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2783912075?t=2877s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2783912075","timecode":"47:57","startMs":2877000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"First and foremost, crude oil, $87, the lowest it's been since early April. Brent oil, $91 a barrel, the lowest it's been since early April. Everything energy sort of off a cliff."},"performance":{"entryPrice":87.68,"currentPrice":null,"returnPct":null,"relativePct":null,"method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"resolutionStatus":"OPEN","ambiguityNotes":null,"horizon":"3-12mo","isExplicitTrade":false,"notFinancialAdvice":true,"disclaimer":"AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice."},"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"source":{"platform":"OTHER","title":"Hyperliquid Is LEGAL!!! SAAS is BACK... Stocks Are RIPPINGGGG!!!!!!! Trump RUGGED War..!?","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2783912075","publishedAt":"2026-05-29T20:39:53.000Z"},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2783912075?t=2877s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2783912075","timecode":"47:57","startMs":2877000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"First and foremost, crude oil, $87, the lowest it's been since early April. Brent oil, $91 a barrel, the lowest it's been since early April. Everything energy sort of off a cliff.","quote":"First and foremost, crude oil, $87, the lowest it's been since early April. Brent oil, $91 a barrel, the lowest it's been since early April. Everything energy sort of off a cliff.","speaker":"ThreadGuy"},"entities":[{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78}],"marketData":{"entry":{"price":87.68,"currency":"USD","observedAt":"2026-05-29T20:39:53.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"current":null,"returnPct":null},"snapshots":[{"kind":"ENTRY","symbol":"CL","assetClass":"COMMODITY","price":87.68,"probability":null,"currency":"USD","provider":"paste.trade","providerSymbol":"xyz:CL","observedAt":"2026-05-29T20:39:53.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE","returnPct":null,"relativePct":null}]}