{"version":"market-claims.v1","claim":{"id":"mcl_afb9ee79fc64d661c1","url":"/trace/claims/mcl_afb9ee79fc64d661c1","status":"PUBLISHED","claimType":"DIRECTIONAL_THESIS","direction":"LONG","claimText":"Hormuz blockade keeps the strait closed; oil grinds structurally higher and finally bites risk assets.","confidence":0.72,"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"primaryEntity":{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"EQUITY","symbol":"OIL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2760135165?t=1318s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2760135165","timecode":"21:58","startMs":1318000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"this is a chart of front-dated Brent oil on Hyperliquid. And look at the daily chart on this thing. Pretty terrifying. all-time high on the first breakout, like early March, was like $117"},"performance":{"entryPrice":104.33,"currentPrice":null,"returnPct":null,"relativePct":null,"method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"resolutionStatus":"OPEN","ambiguityNotes":null,"horizon":"event-driven","isExplicitTrade":false,"notFinancialAdvice":true,"disclaimer":"AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice."},"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"source":{"platform":"OTHER","title":"Biggest Earnings Day EVER.. Oil is PUMPING! Stock Market might be in TROUBLE!!!!!! AAAAAAA","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2760135165","publishedAt":"2026-04-29T20:05:32.000Z"},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2760135165?t=1318s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2760135165","timecode":"21:58","startMs":1318000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"this is a chart of front-dated Brent oil on Hyperliquid. And look at the daily chart on this thing. Pretty terrifying. all-time high on the first breakout, like early March, was like $117","quote":"this is a chart of front-dated Brent oil on Hyperliquid. And look at the daily chart on this thing. Pretty terrifying. all-time high on the first breakout, like early March, was like $117","speaker":"ThreadGuy"},"entities":[{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"EQUITY","symbol":"OIL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78}],"marketData":{"entry":{"price":104.33,"currency":"USD","observedAt":"2026-04-29T20:05:32.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"current":null,"returnPct":null},"snapshots":[{"kind":"ENTRY","symbol":"OIL","assetClass":"EQUITY","price":104.33,"probability":null,"currency":"USD","provider":"paste.trade","providerSymbol":"flx:OIL","observedAt":"2026-04-29T20:05:32.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE","returnPct":null,"relativePct":null}]}