{"version":"market-claims.v1","claim":{"id":"mcl_a8a66d9c5b9bfce369","url":"/trace/claims/mcl_a8a66d9c5b9bfce369","status":"PUBLISHED","claimType":"DIRECTIONAL_THESIS","direction":"LONG","claimText":"Oil could pop hard the longer this war drags on, but you are longing the one asset every country on Earth wants to see go lower, so it is a sitting duck trade.","confidence":0.72,"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"primaryEntity":{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2793522078?t=4043s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2793522078","timecode":"67:23","startMs":4043000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"I continue to think the longer this goes on, the more likely we are to hit a curl pop on the oil trade. I just, I'm not gonna be there to do it."},"performance":{"entryPrice":90.184,"currentPrice":null,"returnPct":null,"relativePct":null,"method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"resolutionStatus":"OPEN","ambiguityNotes":null,"horizon":"event-driven","isExplicitTrade":false,"notFinancialAdvice":true,"disclaimer":"AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice."},"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"source":{"platform":"OTHER","title":"LIVE: Stocks DUMPING!! GoodAlex @ 5PM EST! SpaceX IPO on FRIDAY!!!!!!! WHAT IS GOING ON!!!!!!!!!!!! MYTHOS!!!!","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2793522078","publishedAt":"2026-06-10T20:46:25.000Z"},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2793522078?t=4043s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2793522078","timecode":"67:23","startMs":4043000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"I continue to think the longer this goes on, the more likely we are to hit a curl pop on the oil trade. I just, I'm not gonna be there to do it.","quote":"I continue to think the longer this goes on, the more likely we are to hit a curl pop on the oil trade. I just, I'm not gonna be there to do it.","speaker":"ThreadGuy"},"entities":[{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78}],"marketData":{"entry":{"price":90.184,"currency":"USD","observedAt":"2026-06-10T20:46:25.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"current":null,"returnPct":null},"snapshots":[{"kind":"ENTRY","symbol":"CL","assetClass":"COMMODITY","price":90.184,"probability":null,"currency":"USD","provider":"paste.trade","providerSymbol":"xyz:CL","observedAt":"2026-06-10T20:46:25.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE","returnPct":null,"relativePct":null}]}