{"version":"market-claims.v1","claim":{"id":"mcl_5d838d3985d429119d","url":"/trace/claims/mcl_5d838d3985d429119d","status":"PUBLISHED","claimType":"DIRECTIONAL_THESIS","direction":"LONG","claimText":"When the threats get this loud and insane, that's the bottom, the dumbest money on earth has never bet this hard against oil and I will not be short.","confidence":0.72,"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"primaryEntity":{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2794308987?t=3212s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2794308987","timecode":"53:32","startMs":3212000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"I got bearish at those spots, right? He threatened to nuke Cargill Island and I was a bear. But you kind of only really have one option, which I think is to be a local bull when that happens the next time, because it's so extreme and loud and just outta character that the only really direction you can go is to fade it."},"performance":{"entryPrice":84.858,"currentPrice":null,"returnPct":null,"relativePct":null,"method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"resolutionStatus":"OPEN","ambiguityNotes":null,"horizon":"event-driven","isExplicitTrade":false,"notFinancialAdvice":true,"disclaimer":"AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice."},"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"source":{"platform":"OTHER","title":"SpaceX IPO TMRW!!! War Is OVER... Stocks Are BACK! Oil is CRASHING! - Jack D. Schwager (Market Wizards) 5PM EST","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2794308987","publishedAt":"2026-06-11T20:34:00.000Z"},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2794308987?t=3212s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2794308987","timecode":"53:32","startMs":3212000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"I got bearish at those spots, right? He threatened to nuke Cargill Island and I was a bear. But you kind of only really have one option, which I think is to be a local bull when that happens the next time, because it's so extreme and loud and just outta character that the only really direction you can go is to fade it.","quote":"I got bearish at those spots, right? He threatened to nuke Cargill Island and I was a bear. But you kind of only really have one option, which I think is to be a local bull when that happens the next time, because it's so extreme and loud and just outta character that the only really direction you can go is to fade it.","speaker":"ThreadGuy"},"entities":[{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78}],"marketData":{"entry":{"price":84.858,"currency":"USD","observedAt":"2026-06-11T20:34:00.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"current":null,"returnPct":null},"snapshots":[{"kind":"ENTRY","symbol":"CL","assetClass":"COMMODITY","price":84.858,"probability":null,"currency":"USD","provider":"paste.trade","providerSymbol":"xyz:CL","observedAt":"2026-06-11T20:34:00.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE","returnPct":null,"relativePct":null}]}