{"version":"market-claims.v1","claim":{"id":"mcl_052567568313a209ab","url":"/trace/claims/mcl_052567568313a209ab","status":"PUBLISHED","claimType":"DIRECTIONAL_THESIS","direction":"SHORT","claimText":"Fade every war escalation and stay long; Trump admin has proven it can juggle Mideast and keep markets up","confidence":0.72,"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"primaryEntity":{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764207002?t=3110s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2764207002","timecode":"51:50","startMs":3110000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"you could just stay long or stay cash and bullish and stay away from the oil longs. And that's where I land. I'm not touching them. I have absolutely zero reason to touch an oil long."},"performance":{"entryPrice":104.74,"currentPrice":null,"returnPct":null,"relativePct":null,"method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"resolutionStatus":"OPEN","ambiguityNotes":null,"horizon":"event-driven","isExplicitTrade":false,"notFinancialAdvice":true,"disclaimer":"AISO tracks public statements, not verified portfolio positions. This is not financial advice."},"expert":{"slug":"notthreadguy","displayName":"Notthreadguy","kind":"PERSON","status":"UNCLAIMED","avatarUrl":"/api/avatars/73b599a1-a","url":"/trace/experts/notthreadguy","claimed":false},"source":{"platform":"OTHER","title":"LIVE: The War is BACK.. Brent Oil at $115!! Bitcoin $80K!? - Korean Stocks are CRAZY! + Mando Interview","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2764207002","publishedAt":"2026-05-04T20:34:21.000Z"},"evidence":{"evidenceUrl":"https://www.twitch.tv/videos/2764207002?t=3110s","sourceUrl":"https://twitch.tv/videos/2764207002","timecode":"51:50","startMs":3110000,"endMs":null,"excerpt":"you could just stay long or stay cash and bullish and stay away from the oil longs. And that's where I land. I'm not touching them. I have absolutely zero reason to touch an oil long.","quote":"you could just stay long or stay cash and bullish and stay away from the oil longs. And that's where I land. I'm not touching them. I have absolutely zero reason to touch an oil long.","speaker":"ThreadGuy"},"entities":[{"kind":"ASSET","assetClass":"COMMODITY","symbol":"CL","name":"WTI","exchange":null,"confidence":0.78}],"marketData":{"entry":{"price":104.74,"currency":"USD","observedAt":"2026-05-04T20:34:21.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE"},"current":null,"returnPct":null},"snapshots":[{"kind":"ENTRY","symbol":"CL","assetClass":"COMMODITY","price":104.74,"probability":null,"currency":"USD","provider":"paste.trade","providerSymbol":"xyz:CL","observedAt":"2026-05-04T20:34:21.000Z","method":"PASTE_AUTHOR_PRICE","returnPct":null,"relativePct":null}]}